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New price still off the mark
• Govt makes N3.3b daily for selling petrol at N125
For pegging the pump price of petrol at N125 per litre, the Federal Government would be shortchanging Nigerians to the tune of N3.3 billion daily on the 55 million litres of the product consumed everyday in the country, The Guardian has learnt.
If the sector was deregulated and market forces were allowed to drive the price based on current realities in which the price of crude oil averaged $25 per barrel, the expected open market price of the product should not exceed N84 per litre.
Though the Federal Government had earlier in the week directed the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA) to peg the pump price of petrol at N125 per litre, down from N145, the directive might not have been the best option for Nigerians.
Some stakeholders insisted that the price should be lower than the N125 per litre ordered by the government if the current realities were allowed to drive the market. They, therefore, called on the government to totally deregulate the sector.
The stakeholders said the current oil slump presented a good opportunity for the government to remove petrol subsidy and allow market realities drive the sector.
Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Timipre Sylva, who spoke after the Federal Executive Council meeting last Wednesday in Abuja, said that President Muhammadu Buhari reduced the pump price of petrol to enable Nigerians benefit from the crash in global crude oil prices.
The outbreak of coronavirus across the world has forced the international oil market to a near standstill, leaving crude oil price to plummet from around $60 per barrel to about $25.
A former president of Nigerian Association for Energy Economics (NAEE), Prof. Wumi Iledare, said there was need for government to allow market realities drive the sector.
According to him, the N125 per litre will create producer surplus rather than consumer surplus.
“It is a price floor above the market clearing price at less than $30 per barrel crude! Unfortunately, government looks at N125 as price ceiling, marketers look at it as price floor. Economics 101 supports the latter! So consumers are not necessarily better off with this seemingly price reduction,” Iledare said.
The professor, who noted that consumer surplus would not be optimized, said the situation could only prevent shortage.
To Iledare, there is substantial welfare loss with the price at N125. According to him, government must take advantage of the current development to liberalize or restructure the market to readjust itself going forward in proportion to relate changes in crude oil prices and exchange rates.
The expert, who said Nigerians deserved to enjoy the current landing cost, stressed that it should be lower than N100 per litre if the market operated based on current realities.
Last year alone, Nigeria spent a whopping N3trillion importing about 18 billion litres of petrol, while the nation is struggling with the poor state of the its refineries and the absence of modular refineries.
Former President of the Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explorationists (NAPE), who is the Managing Director of Degeconek Limited, Abiodun Adesanya, had also insisted that the current window provided opportunity to address the anomaly in the downstream sector.
Predicting that the current slump in oil price could leave massive loophole in the nation’s economy, Adesanya said: “I never supported subsidy for petrol. It is good we remove it through this opportunity.”
PricewaterhouseCoopers’s Associate Director, Energy, Utilities and Resources, Habeeb Jaiyeola, also said that pegging the price was not the best way to go, advising that the government should fully deregulate the price.
A professor of Economics and former Chairman of Council of Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN), Segun Ajibola, insisted that the arithmetic used in the current calculation was biased, particularly given the current price of oil price at the international market.
“The arithmetic of the pricing of the petroleum products is not clear. At about $60/barrel, price per litre, it was N145. At about $30/barrel, price per litre, it is N125. Good as the reduction is, it cannot be described as a dash,” he stated.
According to him, if the approach is strictly scientific, the price per litre will go down much lower than N125.
